Quantcast Playing Earnings Warnings
Search by tag or site Login to my blog ? Start my own blog














TheMoneyBlogs
Home
About
Create your own blog
Contact us
Vote for this blog!

Underground Trading

Cutting edge information and analysis on day trading, active trading and short term trading of the US equities markets utilizing converging time frame technical analysis trading methods

Playing Earnings Warnings

Posted on 08/31/2006 01:27:35 | Link | Post Comment

Earnings season is about four weeks away. In the meantime, we are always on the watch out for earnings warnings. These warnings usually result in a gap down or a dumper for the stock’s price. I want to go over how to play these earnings warnings in this article.
 
 The rule of thumb of dumpers is to wait out the first 10-15 minutes after the 9:30am EST market open to allow the 3 minute 5 period moving average to catch down to where the stock is trading. Once that 3 min 5 tests, it will either base and cross up on the stochastics to form a channel tightening rise to the 3 minute 15 period moving average OR it will reject and form a 3 min mini inverse pup breakdown to the lower Bollinger bands and beyond.


 
 JBL had an earnings warning Jun 13, 2006. It gapped down over five points. We waited out the initial opening action until the 3 minute 5 period ma caught down. At 9:49am we took SHORTS at 25.95 which was just below the 25.97 (the 3 min 5 resistance). We placed stops at 26.10 coil resistance. The 1 minute stochastics slipped to trigger a 3 minute mini inverse pup and inverse pup as long as the 3 minute 5 was not violated. This set up a nice lean down to pare 25.55 stinky 5s, out + .40 and LOCKED the 25.25 overshoots on the 1 minute LOW band mini inverse pup leans, out + .70 on the rest.


 
 Markets have been getting steamrolled. As of this article, Nasdaq has been down seven straight days. QQQQs has a monthly mini inv pup with lower bbs at 35.15 with weekly 5 resistance at 38.18. Any bounces need to be sold at the weekly 5 and shorts can be initiated there. Monthly lower bbs are decent spots to nibble longs intraday.
 
 Good trading gang!

Stock Quote or
Examples
ATM Wallstreet - Tue Oct 07, 2008 10:07PM
Today we have the Fed speaking and release of Fed mi [read more]
Morpheus Trading - Fri Oct 10, 2008 01:40AM
NOTE: Please click on the charts below to enlarge them if [read more]
Morpheus Trading - Tue Oct 07, 2008 08:33AM
NOTE: Please click on the charts below to enlarge them [read more]

PREMIER SPONSORED LINKS

Most Visited Blogs | Most Popular Blogs | Most Recent Blogs | Contact Us | Terms and conditions | Privacy Policy

The columns, articles, message board posts and any other features provided on TheMoneyBlogs.com are provided for personal finance, education and investment information and are not to be construed as investment advice. Under no circumstances does the information in this content represent a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. The views and opinions expressed in an article or column are the author's own and not necessarily those of TheMoneyBlogs.com and there is no implied endorsement by TheMoneyBlogs.com of any advice or trading strategy. The analysts and employees or affiliates of TheMoneyBlogs.com may hold positions in the stocks or industries discussed here. Your use of this and all information contained on TheMoneyBlogs.com is governed by the Terms and Conditions of Use. Please click the link to view those terms. Follow this link to read our Editorial Policy.

Copyright © 2008 The Connors Group, Inc.