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Historical Christmas Week Performance since 1896

Bob Kleyla | Sun, 12/21/2008 - 8:33pm | Amateur Investors, Christmas Week, Dow Performance |  1 comment

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Here are some Christmas Week Statistics going back to 1896 involving the Dow.  As you can see there is a slight upward bias the 3 trading days prior to Christmas with the day before Christmas having the highest probability to the upside.  Meanwhile the day after Christmas has a slight downward bias.    However as  you can see just because its Christmas Week doesn't mean the market has to move higher. 

Dow Christmas Week Performance 1896-2007

3 Days 2 Days Day Day
before before before after
Christmas Christmas Christmas Christmas
# of Up Days 64 (57%) 58 (52%) 71 (63%) 47 (42%)
# of Down Days 48 (43%) 54 (48%) 41 (37%) 65 (58%)

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Bob
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