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Trading > Amateur Investors

Do Weak January's Lead To A Weak Yearly Performance

Bob Kleyla | Thu, 01/17/2008 - 11:29am | F, Historical S&P 500 January Performance, Performance, S&P, S&P 500 Yearly Returns since 1960, S&P 500 |  Add a comment

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So far in 2008 the S&P 500 is down just over 9%.  Since 1960 the S&P 500 has finished with a negative return in January only 17 times as shown by the table below.   When the S&P 500 has finished with a negative January return there have only been 3 years (2003, 1982 and 1968) in which the S&P 500 has ended the year with a gain greater than 5%.  Thus in 14 out of 17 years (82%) the S&P 500 has finished the year with either a marginal gain (5% or less) or a loss.   The worst performing years were in 1974 when the S&P 500 finished down nearly 30% for the year and in 2002 when it lost just over 23%.  Finally the Average Yearly Return for all of the years combined was -4.7%.

S&P 500 Negative January Performances versus Yearly Performances since 1960

S&P 500

Monthly

Yearly

 

Return

Return

January-05

-2.5

3.0

January-03

-2.7

26.4

January-02

-1.6

-23.4

January-00

-5.1

-10.1

January-92

-2.0

4.5

January-90

-6.9

-6.5

January-84

-0.9

1.4

January-82

-1.8

14.7

January-81

-4.6

-9.7

January-78

-6.2

1.0

January-77

-5.1

-11.5

January-74

-1.0

-29.7

January-73

-1.7

-17.3

January-70

-7.6

0.0

January-69

-0.8

-11.3

January-68

-4.4

7.6

January-62

-3.8

-11.8

 

 

 

Average

Return

-4.7

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Bob
Amateur-Investor.Net

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