“Half the lies they tell about me aren’t true.” – Yogi Berra. We talk with people and read articles and books every day about investing, and are constantly shocked at how little most people know about the real risks and returns of the stock markets. The bear market of 2008 has only only ma ... Read more

This guy was bullish when appropriate. I know, because I was bullish too. I noted in NFTRH at the time that smart people like Hussman and Jeremy Grantham were buying the Armageddon '08 tankage. Now? Not so much. Reckless Myopia "One of the fascinating aspects of the past few months is the lack o ... Read more

NFTRH57 went in depth on a broad spectrum of market indicators and short term scenarios. One of which included the oh so satisfying state of the VIX. But really, we don't expect the bull case to just fold up its tent and go home, now do we? No, maybe we expect a little more earnings hype, a lit ... Read more

AKA my 3 current bear positions (along with VIX calls) are looking constructive for a bottom. But knowing the nature of hope, I am by no means over confident. I'll look to add to these and others as appropriate if hope makes a temporary comeback. ... Read the full post ... Read more

There are many reasons why a particular stock's price might differ from its value, not the least of which is a motivated seller. A motivated seller will drop the price of any asset (e.g. real-estate, vehicles etc.) and stocks are no exception - particularly small-caps, where a lack of ... Read ... Read more

Take a look at IYR. Take a look at the target, it's a measured 51.50 off of the broken neck line of an inverted H&S-like object. The reason I say H&S-like is because, like the broad markets, this is thing did not fall far enough and chop around before the upward thrust and we are floating ... Read more

Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 Index Rise Above Millennial Marks- The major averages posted unanimous gains on Monday while volume totals on the NYSE and Nasdaq exchange were reported lighter than the prior session totals. Advancing issues led decliners on the NYSE by almost a 5 -to- 1 ratio, ... Read more

CSTR was a nice base from the previous day.  Remember strong stocks can correct through time and base sideways and don’t have to pull back.  Sometimes we think extended when really it’s extremely bullish. CSTR gap up was very nice.  Entry was off the five min. chart with a .24 ... Read more