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Millionaire Now! by Larry NusbaumThis blog is based on the organizational principles found in my new book, "Millionaire Now! - A Financial Toolbox with Seven Steps to Wealth". |
WE SIMPLY HAVE TO GET IT RIGHT THIS TIME!
http://www.millionairenowbook.blogspot.com/
We have been hearing about a housing bubble, real estate bubble and now credit bubble for 6 years. But, if magazine covers are an indication of a top, then housing received a lot of happy covers in the summer of 2005. When other bubbles occur, the tech stock (internet) bubble in particular, there weren't a lot of dire warnings in advance like we have seen in housing. Is it possible that analysts and investors want to get it so right (after beeing so wrong on tech) that they have been preparing for it and didn't all rush in at once at the end? I don't know.
Now, the financial analysts, economists, media people, and technicians like to look back on the patterns of past history to predict future price movement. It can be seasonal or trends can last a long time. So why is it that they are predicting housing's implosion when there is simply no history to fall back on? Look at housing as repeating 7 year cycles in which it moves (up), flat lines for a while and a new cycle starts. The history of this stair step pattern couldn't possibly be of any help in predicting a pop in the bubble, could it? So why are they doing it now?
You have always heard about the contrarian investor. They buy that which everyone hates and sells when everyone discovers it and falls in love with it. EVERYONE HATES HOUSING STOCKS AND HOUSING! So, on that basis, could housing stocks be done going down? I say yes. And, did everyone sell their houses or refinance their "exotic" mortgages who wanted to? The bubble has been talked about long enough...........
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- THE END OF THE GRAND SUPERCYCLE?
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