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Millionaire Now! by Larry Nusbaum

This blog is based on the organizational principles found in my new book, "Millionaire Now! - A Financial Toolbox with Seven Steps to Wealth".

Stocks vs. Real Estate: "YAWN"

Posted on 04/20/2007 17:10:16 | Link | Post Comment

Let the false debate rage on. And, for what purpose? Well, there is none at all. CNN money is at it again. But, as I asked back in August: WHY DO WE TORTURE OURSELVES?: It’s not one OR the other. A proper wealth accumulation plan contains both asset classes. Wealthy individuals invest in both.

Round 1: Performance - Actually, this is from 1978 to 2004, in which real estate (they meant housing) produced an 8.6% return, which is over 40% compounded with a modest 80% leverage. Afterall, we don't buy property for cash. {see below} So, how did stocks win?

1978 to 2004

Round 2: Leverage - The financial tool of the wealthy. Enough said.

 

Round 3: Costs - There are two costs in real estate: lost opportunity and the price paid at acquisition. The rest is b.s. 

Round 4: Taxes - Well, wealthy people hate paying them and real estate provides quite a bit of shelter. However, one can also avoid paying taxes almost forever by exchanges.



Round 5: Transparency - This is actually pretty funny and pretty silly. What would be the incentive for companies and mutual funds to lack transparency? Right. They're hiding something from you. But, in real estate, you probably wouldn't be hiding something from yourself! Next....

Round 6: Effort - There the stocks win. It takes zero effort to watch Enron go from 7th in the country in revenue and a $65 stock price to $0. Or, to see your Yahoo go from $496 to $8 in a very short period of time. GE? $35 from $65.

Round 7: Volatility - The Francis-Ibbotson study, for example, found that over the 27 years surveyed, homes in their worst year returned 3.5% and commercial property lost only 5.6%. The S&P 500's worst annual performance was a 22.1% decline.

Round 8: Diversification : They are wrong here. Both asset classes provide it and not for the millions in property they claim. But, today, with markets being global, diversification won't provide as much safety as once thought.

Decision - Please note that the endowment funds of Harvard and Yale Universities invest only about 12% of their funds in the U.S. stock market. Their returns are legendary. Yale earned 22.9% on a portfolio that started the year on July 1, 2005 at $15.2 billion. "Yale's allocations of 12 percent to domestic equity and 4 percent to fixed income cause only 16 percent of the University's assets to be invested in traditional U.S. marketable securities. In contrast, the average endowment has nearly 50 percent of assets in U.S. stocks, bonds, and cash."

Also, look at the Forbes 400 list and see how many people made fortunes in real estate. Did you know that the top 10% wealthiest people in America have 65% of their wealth in real estate? Housing Bubble and Real Estate Market Tracker from SA for 4/19

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