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Millionaire Now! by Larry Nusbaum

This blog is based on the organizational principles found in my new book, "Millionaire Now! - A Financial Toolbox with Seven Steps to Wealth".

Stocks Pull Back Ahead Of Jobs Report

Posted on 12/08/2006 00:00 AM | Link | Post Comment
The major averages opened higher but gave back their gains within the first hour of trade and spent the rest of Thursday's session edging lower. Volume was mixed, lower on the NYSE and higher on the Nasdaq. For the second straight day, breadth was negative as decliners led advancers by a 19-to-14 ratio on the NYSE and by a 19-to-12 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange.

The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU +0.83%) was a standout winner while most groups faced pressure today. The tech sector struggled as the Semiconductor ($SOX -1.69%), Internet ($DOT -1.43%), Software ($GSO -1.21%), and Biotechnology ($BTK -0.95%) indexes lost ground, meanwhile the Networking Index ($NWX -0.14%) basically held its ground. The Retail Index ($RLX -1.23%) fell, and it was a negative influence on the major averages along with financial stocks as the Broker/Dealer ($XBD -0.95%) and Bank ($BKX -0.27%) index both ended with losses. The energy group backpedaled as the Oil Services ($OSX -0.91%) and Integrated Oil ($XOI -0.32%) indexes fell. The Healthcare ($HMO -0.38%) group also ended with a modest loss.

FROM DR. BRETT:
Market Expectations:
Participation - About 84% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 50-day moving averages and 72% of S&P 600 small caps. NASDAQ 100 is at 70%. Clearly we're not seeing, at this juncture, major deterioration in upside participation. Indeed, 82% of all NYSE issues are above their 50-day MAs. Bear markets usually begin after we get price highs in the indices with reduced participation in the strength (i.e., waning % of stocks above their averages).

Market Summary:
The market traded higher in early action, only to reverse and trade lower through much of the day. We closed below the day's average price of ES 1425 (note the change to the March, 2007 contract). The Power Measure closed solidly negative on late selling. Selling dominated the large caps, with the Institutional Composite finishing at -222, and also led the broad market, with the Adjusted TICK at -490. Demand rose to 44; Supply rose only modestly to 84. New 20 day highs dipped to 1285; new 20 day lows rose modestly to 393. In all, we did not see as much downside momentum among stocks as it might have appeared from the price action. The drop has placed us in a neutral short-term trend, but that will turn bearish if we see day over day price lows and an expansion in the number of stocks making fresh 20-day lows.
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