Quantcast Market Commentary For 07/03/2008
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Market Commentary For 07/03/2008

Posted on 07/02/2008 18:23:38 | Link | Post Comment
 

Market commentary for 07/03/2008  

 

Good day!

 

Symbol

Last

Net

Net%

Symbol

Last

Net

Net%

INDU

 11215.51

-166.75

-1.46

DIA

112.15

  -1.62

 -1.42

S&P 500

1261.52 

 -23.39

   -1.82

SPY

126.18

-2.20

-1.71

COMPX

 2251.46

  -53.51

-2.32

QQQQ

44.71

-1.10

-2.40

 





Oil was up and the indices were down.  That is the short explanation of Wednesday''s action. From a technical analysis view that means the indices retested Tuesday''s low and formed 60 min double bottom patterns. We saw very choppy market action for most of the day. Every try to break up after the strong close on Tuesday failed and brought the indices lower. The day started with a small gap up, enough for a 60 min double top and at the end of day we got a double bottom. We can clearly see that on the 60 min charts.


 

 

The daily charts are showing us the same action which is back to the previous lows. The only difference is volume. Wednesday''s volume was lower which suggests that this support area could hold. Right now it impossible to predict that, because with the market weakness over the last few weeks,  we could easily see a gap down at the open and some panic action, but we could also see a bounce from the double bottom patterns. Remember that a double bottom can bounce after slightly lower lows and because of that a break to new lows will not be automatically give us low risk short setup. Since my focus is on low risk setups, I won’t take it.

 

 

 

The market will close at 1:00pm ET on Thursday and that will be the start of a long holiday weekend. With a very uncertain world situation and the rise of oil, I don’t expect that many traders will be happy holding trades over the weekend.  I will expect some action in the morning after the open, possibly for the first 2 hours.  I will therefore be focused on intraday setups only and again only on a possible bounce.

 

If anyone has any questions or comments, please feel free to contact me

Wish you all good trading!!!

 

Kind regards.

Ivica

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