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Here is a video of Mish from Global Economic Analysis giving a talk at Google (most Q&A). Yes, I helped him get started. Update: To be clear, I disagree with Mish on many points. I didn't want to turn this into a debate (Editor's Note: follow the link to view a video of Mish discussing the fut ... Read more

From the NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions for New York manufacturers deteriorated significantly in February. The general business conditions index fell to a new low of -34.7. The new orders index also fell to a new low, the ... Read more

From MarketWatch: Chrysler to idle all factories for at least a month Chrysler said Wednesday that it will idle all of its manufacturing operations starting this Friday through at least January 19 in an effort to keep inventories more aligned with plunging U.S. demand for new cars and trucks. ... Read more

From Globe St.: Values Off 43% From 2007 Peak Prices nationwide have fallen 42.9% from their October 2007 peak, according to the latest Moody’s/REAL Commercial Property Price Index report issued Thursday, while Real Capital Analytics says total transaction volume for 2009 will be the lowest of t ... Read more

Here is some national data on home buyer financing in October. This is from a survey by Campbell Communications (excerpted with permission) released today. Source: October Trends in Existing Home Sales, a presentation from Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance Monthly Survey on Real Estate Market Condi ... Read more

Trading > Calculated Risk

Krugman on AIG

| Fri, 11/20/2009 - 1:30pm |  Add a comment

From Paul Krugman writing in the NY Times: The Big Squander During the bubble years, many financial companies created the illusion of financial soundness by buying credit-default swaps from A.I.G. — basically, insurance policies in which A.I.G. promised to make up the difference if borrowers def ... Read more

From the BLS: Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary Twenty-nine states and the District of Columbia recorded over-the-month unemployment rate increases, 13 states registered rate decreases, and 8 states had no rate change, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over t ... Read more

From housing consultant Ivy Zelman commenting on the MBA Delinquency report in the NY Times U.S. Mortgage Delinquencies Reach a Record High "I’ve been pretty bearish on this big ugly pig stuck in the python and this cements my view that home prices are going back down."From Bloomberg: Housing R ... Read more

Trading > Calculated Risk

More on FHA Loans

| Fri, 11/20/2009 - 12:39am |  Add a comment

David Streitfeld at the NY Times adds some color: Easy Loans in Expensive Areas In January, Mike Rowland was so broke that he had to raid his retirement savings to move [to San Francisco] from Boston. A week ago, he and a couple of buddies bought a two-unit apartment building for nearly a millio ... Read more

Trading > Calculated Risk

On Negative T Bills

| Thu, 11/19/2009 - 10:30pm |  Add a comment

There was some buzz earlier today about short term T bill rates turning slightly negative. This happened last year too, but for different reasons ... From the Financial Times: Short-term US interest rates turn negative Short-term US interest rates turned negative on Thursday as banks frantically ... Read more