A lot of investors have been talking about the Golden Cross of late which is when the 50 Day Moving Averages crosses the 200 Day Moving Average to the upside which is supposed to be a bullish sign. Well let's look at some data going back to 1896 in the Dow and see if it's really that bullish o ... Read more

Today I'm going to show you a good example of one of the rules of identifying when a bear market is transitioning to a bull market. Then on Monday and Tuesday we'll finish up with the series of how to protect short positions during these moves. Lesson Number One of the bear to bull transition ... Read more

FINTAG COMMENT 4 weeks later. So the bear rally is over. Apparently. My trip to Hong Kong was abandoned because British Airways had not upgraded their First Class cabins as advertised and tried to give me an Anya Hindmarch bag as compensation. So I stayed at home and watched the pundits on Bloomber ... Read more

With the GMI and GMI-R at zero, I think it is not the time to fight this down-trend.  The major indexes look terrible and the QQQQ completed the 7th day of its short term daily down-trend within a longer weekly down-trend.  The key to survival in the market is to lose as little as possible ... Read more

Click on graph for updated image in new window. This graph is from Doug Short of dshort.com (financial planner): "Four Bad Bears". (if smaller graph isn't updated, click for larger graph) Note that the Great Depression crash is based on the DOW; the three others are for the S&P ... Read more

The market is due for an oversold Bear Market Rally and it appears with the S&P 500 taking out its January 23rd low on Monday this may have set up a Double Bottom pattern in the near term.  The question at this point is how far will the S&P 500 advance before running into resistance.& ... Read more

This week the % of Bearish Investment Advisors exceeded the % of Bullish Investment Advisors by 10% (point A) which going back to the mid 1990's has been a rare occurrence.  In fact there have only been 4 occasions when the % of Bearish Advisors has exceeded the % of Bullish Advisors by 5% or ... Read more

Everyone knows that in the long run stocks always go up. Our brokers and the smart people on TV have fancy graphs they show us that prove that over the long term, stocks only go up. They tell us that yes, from time to time there will be this nasty thing called a bear market, but if you just hold o ... Read more

Sidelines Look Good The great W.D. Gann stated clearly one of the most important rules in trading - "when in doubt stay out and don't get back in until you're sure." The last week has been wild and showed capitulation by current former leaders like fertilizers and Russia to the downward ... Read more