Quantcast Clearsight Comment on Current Market Conditions
Search by tag or site Login to my blogStart my own blog















TheMoneyBlogs
Home
About
Create your own blog
Contact us
Vote for this blog!

Investing Intelligently

Posts about investing in ETFs, mutual funds, large-cap and value stocks, personal finance, debt, taxes, and more.

Clearsight Comment on Current Market Conditions

Posted on 09/29/2006 00:44 AM | Link | Post Comment

Today I received a link to a Clearsight "market communique." It starts off with a little technical charting stuff that I'm not too fond of:

After rebounding nicely from its June lows through the first week of September, the TSX Composite Index has fallen over 4%. As in previous setbacks, the index now stands at a key valuation level that if held might lead to another bounce. In the most recent rally and ensuing downturn however, there has been a general absence of many signals at key price breakpoints for the leading stocks in the index.

See what I mean? I'm not a big fan of "valuation levels", "signals", or "price breakpoints"...load of crap if you ask me. No offense to them, I just don't get off on technical analysis (of stock price charts at least :-) ).

Apparently a US slowdown has begun, "For over a year, economists have sounded an alarm that a U.S. economic slowdown would begin, as an unprecedented bull-run in residential housing comes to an end. This forecast has now become reality."

No big surprise, economists can't agree on what will happen (haven't they invented crystal balls yet?):

Some economists and market observers are now predicting an outright recession, while others call for a &8216;mid-business cycle slowdown', i.e., soft landing to occur. Even the more optimistic admit however, that this slowdown will feel like a recession to many people.

There final advice is a bit mixed:

On balance, there appears to be a reasonable likelihood that the economy will avoid recession, at least in the near term. This in and of itself however, may not be enough to spark a genuine rally in the markets. Even so, abandoning one's investments completely at this point would generally not be advisable for long term investors, not to mention impractical. But, cash is not a four letter word, and finding opportunities to take profits and increase cash holdings in markets such as the current one can help add comfort and stability for long term investors

In essence they provide some optimism, or hope for those who are worried about a downturn, and give some very sound advice, 1) to not sell the farm, but 2) hold some cash, and if you are a bit underweight right now, selling a few equities wouldn't be a bad thing to do.

Stock Quote or
Examples
Morpheus Trading - Mon Jul 21, 2008 08:33AM
NOTE: Please click on the charts below to enlarge them if [read more]
Morpheus Trading - Mon Jul 21, 2008 08:31AM
NOTE: Please click on the charts below to enlarge them i [read more]
Millionaire Now! by Larry Nusbaum - Tue Jul 22, 2008 09:23AM
Hedge funds have made billions this year shorting the banks, [read more]

PREMIER SPONSORED LINKS

Most Visited Blogs | Most Popular Blogs | Most Recent Blogs | Contact Us | Terms and conditions | Privacy Policy

The columns, articles, message board posts and any other features provided on TheMoneyBlogs.com are provided for personal finance, education and investment information and are not to be construed as investment advice. Under no circumstances does the information in this content represent a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. The views and opinions expressed in an article or column are the author's own and not necessarily those of TheMoneyBlogs.com and there is no implied endorsement by TheMoneyBlogs.com of any advice or trading strategy. The analysts and employees or affiliates of TheMoneyBlogs.com may hold positions in the stocks or industries discussed here. Your use of this and all information contained on TheMoneyBlogs.com is governed by the Terms and Conditions of Use. Please click the link to view those terms. Follow this link to read our Editorial Policy.

Copyright © 2008 The Connors Group, Inc.